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Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Another winter storm to hammer Oklahoma and surrounding areas


METD USA
Akshay Deoras
Concerning Winter Watch for Oklahoma

A new powerful upper level trough will arrive over the southern areas BY 76 HRS FROM NOW. The cold air from canada will pass before this system arrives resulting in intense cold front over Oklahoma central. After that the main storm system will arrive.
THE GFS MODELS ARE INDICATING 72HR ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION OF 20in. 
There will be ice pellets of SLEET by thursday and will be get converted to SNOW by friday.
There will be heavy snow accumulation from Norman,Oklahoma city to texas. Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma will see the most significant snow accumulations of 1-2 feet, while eastern Oklahoma into northern Arkansas will likely see more than two inches of freezing rain followed by several inches of snowfall on the backside of the system. central OK, we'll likey receive intense freezing rain and sleet beginning Wednesday night and continuing early Thursday, changing to very heavy snow by afternoon, with 8-10 inches of snow on top of ice accumulations.  Shown at left is the 18z NAM forecast sounding for OUN at 21z Thursday, right around when the sleet will be changing to snow


For India, There will be an unseasonable Cyclogenesis over Afghanistan on 28th Jan 2010,Thursday which will create intense,low temperature top clouds which will cause the Best of thunderstorms and Winter Storm in Parts of India. Favoured will BE   JAMMU AND KASHMIR

SNOW ACCUMULATION IS MORE THAN 5FT.


Monday, January 25, 2010

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORHT INDIA


METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
CONCERNING MODERATE SNOWFALL IN NORTH INDIA BETWEEN WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY.WINTER STORM WARNING FOR INDIA ESP KYELONG,DRAS 

A LARGE AMPLIFIED TROUGH IS MOVING TOWARDS NORTH INDIA FROM THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA. COUPLED BY POSITIVE VORTICITY, THIS TROUGH WILL ARRIVE WITH RAINS IN THE FORM OF SNOW OVER NORTH INDIAN HILLS SUCH AS 
SRINAGAR,LEH,MANALI,KYELONG AND POSSIBLY SHIMLA. AS THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING, THE TOTAL 4 DAY SNOW ACCUMULATION FOR KYELONG,HP WILL BE ABOUT 20MM WITH A STRONG POSSIBILITY OF 5.81MM WATER ACCUMULATION ON THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE ARRIVES LEADING TO A THUNDERSTORM WITH A WINTER STORM TYPE ATMOSPHERE OF WINDS  OF 26KM/HR.
IT WILL BE A MODERATE SNOW ENOUGH TO FILL THE MOUNTAINS AND COME IN THE NEWSPAPERS. 
IN THE PLAINS, WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED DUE TO HIGH WINDS GUSTING TO 30KM/HR.