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Saturday, December 18, 2010

Weather update for India for week ( 20-27th Dec 2010)



METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The datas from National Ice Center has confirmed snowfall in Leh on Friday-Saturday ( 17-1th Dec 2010). The predicted WD brought some snowfall in Ladakh and extreme NE of J&K
( SEE THE FIRST IMAGE OF 17TH DEC AND SECOND IMAGE OF 18TH DEC SHOWING INCREASE IN SNOW AMOUNT IN LADAKH AND SOME AREAS IN HIGHER REACHES OF HIMACHAL PRADESH)

No more WD expected in next few days.

Some lows reported-

SRINAGAR AT -5.6C ON SUNDAY
SRINAGAR WITNESSED THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON TODAY WHEN TEMPERATURE DROPPED TO -5.6C.
temperature at 8AM today was -4C

* LEH AT -17.2C
* KARGIL AT -11C
*PAHALGAUM AT -7C
*GULMARG WAS AT - 7.5C
I BET DRASS TO BE AROUND -20C OR SO

Amritsar reported a low temperature of 3C on Sunday and Saturday and 4C on Friday.
( Below temp recorded on Saturday)

Chandigarh at 5.1C
Ludhiana at 3.9C
Patiala at 5.5C
Ambala at 4.3C
Hisar at 4.2C
Narnaul at 3.4C
Shimla at 2.7C

New Delhi at 7C

Temperatures in Maharashtra
Pune at 8.5C on Sun
Wardha at 4.7C on Sun
Nagpur at 9C on Sun
Nashik at 7C on Sun

Expected Weather in Central,Northern India
FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THIS STATE FROM MONDAY( 20TH DEC 2010) TILL THE WEEKEND (26TH DEC 2010)
ESP SRINAGAR,LADAKH,HIGHER REACHES.

1] Jammu and Kashmir region

Decrease in minimum temperature ( STEEP TEMPERATURE FALL) is likely in the entire state from Wednesday-Thursday(22-23rd Dec 2010)
Temp upto -6,-7C likely in Srinagar on Tuesday,Wednesday,Thursday ( 21st,22nd,23rd Dec 2010) and likewise at Leh,Kargil,Drass,other areas also

TEMPERATURE UPTO OR AROUND -20 TO -21C POSSIBLE IN LADAKH ESP LEH AFTER TUESDAY ( 21ST DEC 2010)

No snowfall is possible in this week in this state. ISOLATED CHANCE OF SNOW IN KASHMIR VALLEY on Sunday.CHANCE ONLY 2-3%

2] Punjab,Haryana,Chandigarh,New Delhi

Decrease in Temperature is possible in these areas also in the coming week
Forecast showing Amritsar can have temp nearing to 2C by Saturday( 25th Dec 2010)
Temperature expected to be the same till Tuesday or Wednesday and then fall will be experienced as North India (J&K) gets cooled down at sudden!

3] HIMACHAL PRADESH
Decrease in minimum temperature is likely after 22nd Dec 2010
Till that time steady temperature

4] CENTRAL INDIA ( MAHARASHTRA ESPECIALLY)
Minimum Temperatures in Central India are expected to be similar to what had been in past 24-48hrs. Wardha might see some more drop in temp till Wednesday( 23rd dec 2010)

A RELIEF FROM WINTER IN SIGHT!
The GFS forecast are showing that a HP ( high pressure area) is likely to build over Central India 21st Dec onwards. This high pressure area will surely increase the minimum temperature in Central India from Wednesday ( 22nd dec 2010 onwards) by 2-3C
So Nagpur which has temperature around 9C will get temperature around 11C
Minimal effect likely on Western Coast and Pune during this period.


In all,
Jammu and Kashmir,Punjab to witness more cool nights while Nagpur and central India slightly warmer nights at that period.













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