AKSHAY DEORAS
EXTREME WEATHER FORECASTER-
0100hrs,1st July 2010
A MARK II ALERT MEANS THAT THE WEATHER CAN BE HAZARDOUS AND CAUSE DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.
MARK II ALERT BEGINS FROM 1200HRS,1ST JULY AND WILL CONTINUE TILL 3RD JULY EVENING
* HEAVY RAINS WILL BE OUT IN TODAY'S EVENING SO BE SURE TO CARRY UMBRELLAS WITH YOU AND REMEMBER TO SWITCH OFF AND REMOVE ELECTRIC CONNECTIONS DUE TO LIGHTNING.
* VERY HEAVY RAINS WILL HIT ON FRIDAY EVENING
* PLEASE KEEP AN UMBRELLA IN EVENING HRS FOR THIS TIME
Concerning- a MARK 2 alert as per SWR <severe Weather risk scale> of METD WEATHER in Nagpur
A strong low pressure area has formed in the Bay of Bengal apx 100km to the East of Tamil Nadu. This low pressure has formed in the lower levels of 850mb and has the anti-cyclonic spic in the mid 500mb level also. Strong convection is taking place in this zone resulting in intense cloud tops both in height and temp which now will be controlled by the 300mb Jet streams. These jets will push this Low level circulation or low pressure inwards to the NE of Maharashtra. This low pressure will pull in the SW monsoon winds which currently are scattered towards it resulting in a very good moisture incursion inwards in Maharashtra and Eastern parts of the country.
As per GFS upto 2nd July, This low pressure which will be a LLC<low level circulation> will be present few hundred kilometers to the South of Kolkata and will influence the Low level jets.
This all will bring Heavy to Very heavy rains in Nagpur city,Raipur and the districts near to Nagpur in the limit of 200kms away
Rains will be heavy and more drops/minute. First spells will be on 1st July,Thursday in late afternoon to evening hours in the range 4-6PM. They will continue till all the night. They will amount near about 60mm+
On Friday, More rains will be there and timings will be out soon. It will also rain on Saturday
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