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Monday, June 14, 2010

Western Coast of Maharashtra with Mumbai city and Pune are on a MARK 5 ALERT!

METD WEATHER,
AKSHAY DEORAS
EXTREME WEATHER FORECASTER

**** MARK 5 ALERT DUE TO RAINS IN MUMBAI,PUNE,WESTERN COAST OF MAHARASHTRA,WEST KERALA AND WEST
      KARNATAKA.   
**** A PDS<PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION> IS IN EFFECT FOR MUMBAI,PUNE AND OTHER URBAN CITIES ON 
      WEST MAHARASHTRA.
**** VERY VERY HEAVY RAINS ON TUESDAY STARTING FROM MONDAY EVENING
**** MARK 5 ALERT STARTS FROM 1800HRS,14TH JUNE 2010 TO 1800HRS,16TH JUNE 2010
**** FLOODING POTENTIALS ARE MAXIMUM IN MUMBAI WITH AIR,LAND TRAFFIC SUSPENSIONS

Very strong convection is happening about 200km to the west of Coast Maharashtra as being depicted by the 00z,GFS 500mb Vorticity plots. Right now, A surface low has not been spotted in the pressure maps so chance of cyclone formation is least. The 850mb winds are getting attracted towards a surface low in Northern Gujarat and thus will advance the convection towards North. 
As this organised convection surges north, it will bring INTENSE AND VERY HEAVY RAINS along western coast of India
IN MUMBAI ABOUT 150MM PLUS,15CM AND ABOVE RAIN IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AND MORE IN PUNE THE SAME DAY

PEOPLE MUST NOT GO OUT OF HOUSE ON TUESDAY AS CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR ANOTHER 26TH JULY 2005 FLOODS. 
HIGH TIDES WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL HIT ALSO!

MARK 5 ALERT REFERS TO VERY HIGH RISK,VERY IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUESTED



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