IMAGES-
TOP- THE IR-BD SECTOR IMAGE SHOWING MASSIVE CONVECTION WEST OF { I } THAT IS INVEST OR LOW PRESSURE
2ND IMAGE- The IR-enhanced image showing banding features organization around low noted by outer rain bands(green color in the image)
METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
The deep depression in Bay of Bengal which had entered from South China Sea has now become a Cyclone definitely a Tropical Storm Cat. on the Saffir Simpson Scale
JTWC has issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation alert
Forecast-
Situated at 8.0N and 92.7E in the wide Bay of Bengal, convection has rapidly fired up/intensified and organized around a well developing low level cyclonic circulation or LLC due to very favorable conditions which includes a 29C and above SST,20kt divergent outflow and developing 10kt low level convergence around the low pressure.
Vertical wind shears have now relaxed in the periphery of the cyclone and will permit for a Significant intensification in the next 24hrs!
At this stage, banding feature has started around the LLC indicating a pressure is intensifying at the center.
Tropical Cyclone Jal AS PER METD WEATHER IS FORECAST AT SIMILAR CONDITIONS FOR NEXT 48HRS MIGHT TURN TO A CAT.1 CYCLONE WITH MAX WINDS OVER 153KM/HR
LANDFALL
LANDFALL WILL HAPPEN ON NOV 7 2010
AREA OF LANDFALL REMAINS AROUND CHENNAI AND THE ISSUED METD WEATHER ALERT MAP FOR INDIA WILL BE UPDATED ON 4TH NOV 2010 MORNING. PLEASE NOTE THAT LANDFALL WILL HAPPEN IN AREA AROUND TAMIL NADU-ANDHRA PRADESH BORDER IN INDIA !!!
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