July 26 Moderate Risk Severe Weather Discussion

The following statement is the Storm Prediction Center's Public Severe Weather Outlook.

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0511 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2011
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS
   THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS
   OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
          CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
   
   ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM NORTHEAST COLORADO
   INTO MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES.  SEVERE WEATHER IS ALSO
   EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES.
   
   AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES IS FORECAST TO TRACK
   EASTWARD AND AFFECT THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY THIS EVENING. 
   INCREASINGLY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
   WILL MAINTAIN RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. 
   MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW WILL FORM OVER CENTRAL SD BY LATE
   AFTERNOON PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR INTENSE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 
   STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD WITH THE LOW INTO
   SOUTHEAST ND DURING THE EVENING...AND EVENTUALLY INTO WESTERN MN. 
   THE COMBINATION OF HOT/MOIST CONDITIONS AND UNSEASONABLY STRONG WIND
   FIELDS SUGGEST THE RISK OF SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
   WINDS...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES.  STRONG TORNADOES
   WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MID EVENING.
   
   STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
   SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
   WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
   WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
   TODAY.

Today's Hail Outlook

Today's Tornado Outlook

Today's Wind Outlook