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Wednesday, July 27, 2011

July 27: Tornado Watch #694 (N. IL, E. IA) (Until 1 AM CDT)


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 694
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EAST CENTRAL IOWA
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA
EXTREME SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DUBUQUE IOWA TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MEIGS FIELD ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS...SOME WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES...WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ALONG THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
NEAR THE IL/WI BORDER. STRONG INSTABILITY AND VEERING LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT STORM-SCALE ROTATION WITH DEVELOPING
STORMS ON THE BOUNDARY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND A
TORNADO OR TWO IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. UPSCALE GROWTH OF THE
CONVECTION WILL RESULT IN STRONGER COLD POOL GENERATION AND AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.

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