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Friday, July 16, 2010

TS Conson strikes Southern Hainan. Now heads towards Viet Nam

ABOVE- 1. THE TARGETED APPROACH OF CONSON
2.A CAR DAMAGED BY A TREE BRANCH AS CONSON SWEPT IN HAINAN IS.
img credit for img 2-- NEWS.CN

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Extreme Weather Forecaster

** TYPHOON CONSON HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH WINDS OF 55KT.
** CONSON WILL MAKE A LANDFALL TODAY EVENING BY 6-7PM, VIETNAM TIME ICT NEAR NAM DINH,VIETNAM
** CONSON MADE A LANDFALL HAINAN ISLANDS
** RAINS WITH A FALL OF AIR PRESSURE NOW REPORTED FROM NAM DINH AIRPORT
** PEOPLE AROUND NAM DINH AND THE COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT FROM 1700HRS TILL LATE NIGHT AFTER THIS STORM PASSES
** STRONG WINDS AND STORM SURGE POSSIBLE

Typhoon Conson made a landfall at 7:50PM LT, 16th July 2010 near Sanya in the Hainan Is..
A lot of destruction has been reported at the island after winds peaking up to 125km/hr with heavy rains swept in the area. A lot of damage has been caused to life and property, thus destroying many houses and killing two people according to some report

After a making a landfall i.e a partial cut of from sea and a 30kt wind shear near the islands, Conson has now weakened to a tropical storm with the recorded wind speed of 55kt and at the location of 19N,107.4E as of 0000hrs, GMT.
The typhoon has unorganised a lot in the last few hours and despite of a warmer SST ahead is not expected to strengthen as I don't find any upper divergence which can help the storm to release the latent heat and strengthen.

Conson now heads towards North Viet Nam and landfall is due today late evening
With the GFS,CMC,UKM and NGP Computer models are indicating a landfall to the SE of Hanoi and mostly near Nam Dinh .
Strong winds,GALE and storm surges are possible with the landfall time


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