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Friday, July 16, 2010

Typhoon conson will weaken due to the 30kt Wind shear


METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras
Extreme Weather Forecaster,

THE CENTER OF THE TYPHOON IS JUST 75KM SE FROM SANYA,HAINAN ISLANDS.
THIS TYPHOON WILL MAKE A PARTIAL LANDFALL ACROSS SW COAST FO SANYA,HAINAN

Based on the new model runs from CIMSS, The 30kt wind shear is going to act as a "WALL" for the further strengthning of conson.
Conson was at 17.7N,110.1E at 13z utc. Conson is right now a Cat.1 typhoon with 75kt winds.

A minimum of 978mb pressure has been recorded at the surface stations

Conson will be weakning in next 12hrs. In next 12 hrs, the expected winds will be 65kt.
CONSON WILL MAKE A LANDFALL BETWEEN THAI BINH AND NAM DINH ON SATURDAY NIGHT BY 11.30Z AS A TROPICAL STORM WITH WINDS 65KT

BUT I AM STILL CONFIDENT THAT THE THE LANDFALL SPEED WILL BE NEARING TO 64-65KT AS ITS NOT A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING

HEAVY RAINS WITH STRONG WINDS WILL BE HITING!




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