Akshay Deoras,
Extreme Weather Forecaster,
A cut off trough with southerly jets of 100kt setting deep in NE COLORADO with an embeded SFC cyclone of 996mb across WEST South Dakota will favour for deep convection in a region with strong CAPE over 3000J/Kg. The classic 40kt LLJ will pump good moisture in this sector causing dewpoints of more than 60F and nice vertical shears for rotations. The threat sets up for Moderate Risk across South Central ND, Much western SD,NW NE.
Looking at the models,
My Targets for severe tornado will be NE COLORADO TO SW KS for early period and moving northwards to North East SD
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