METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
100mb low pressure surging west from its current location as on 12z over Chhattisgarh will bring very heavy rains on Saturday and sometime on Sunday in North Eastern Maharashtra,North-Central Maharashtra and South Central Madhya Pradesh. The GFS 12z precipitation plot indicating that the embedded LLC or Low level cyclonic circulation associated with the low pressure will sweep across 20N latitude line on Saturday and pumping rich moistured air mass over North eastern,north central Maharashtra and South Central Madhya Pradesh
The intensity of the low pressure still remains a matter of question as the GFS surface map is not depicting this low to fall below 1000mb but given the textbook 850mb LLC convergence, I w'd expect this low to fall to 998mb on Saturday
Rains-
Low eventually will bring very heavy rains on Saturday in Nagpur,Wardha,Bhandara,Gondia,Chandrapur,Gadchiroli,Yavatmal,Amravati,Akola and other nearby districts.
In Madhya pradesh- South-Central Madhya pradesh like Betul,Chhindwada,Pachmarhi,Itarsi etc. briefly and other areas lying in the 500km from Maharashtra-MP border.
IN ACCORDANCE TO POSSIBLE FLOOD LIKE POTENTIALS IN AREAS OF MP AND SOME PARTS OF MAHARASHTRA, METD WEATHER ALREADY ISSUED A SEVERE WEATHER ALERT ON MARK 3
MARK 3 ALERT CONTINUES TILL 1500HRS,SUNDAY
NAGPUR WEATHER FORECAST
18/09- RAINS. RAINS WILL BEGIN AROUND LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. INTENSITY WILL BE FROM MODERATE TO HEAVY AND AT TIMES LIGHT.
IN AFTERNOON, I EXPECT HEAVY RAINS EXTENDING TILL EVENING AND CAUSING WATER LOGGING. SO STAY ALERT
19/09-PARTLY RAINY DAY. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE THERE ALMOST THE ENTIRE DAY WITH PERIODS OF NO RAINS TO MODERATE RAINS
20/09- PARTLY CLOUDY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE COOL
20/09- PARTLY SUNNY
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