Heavy rainfall likely in Nagpur on Tuesday night and Wednesday! perhaps the last time

ATTACHMENTS-

1] SEA LEVEL PRESSURE PLOT FOR INDIA

2] HEAVY RAINFALL PRECIPITATION PLOT

An existing low pressure stationed over West Bengal is expected to track Westwards from Tuesday as being depicted the 12z GFS Weather Models

This low pressure area having an embedded low level circulation or LLC will sweep over Central India from Tuesday to Wednesday thus pumping a lot of moisture pulled in from the Arabian Sea. A reason of being windy in Nagpur since last week when winds at afternoon/evening peaked 18km/hr due to this dominant air pressured low.Thus due to potent moisture deposition combined with the day time hot air rise conflicting with the cool air above, Rains are expected for the FINAL TIME in this season on Tuesday and Wednesday

Also, Multiple mid to low level vortex systems will form as a result of this pressure over Nagpur and other areas intensifying rains. Rains are expected to begin on Tuesday late evening to night period (Timing is subjected to change in relation to the low pressure movement but nearing to 10PM). Afternoon rain shower possible on Tuesday also.

Thus, light to moderate rains will strike. Wednesday, the forecast says that it will be a rainy day

Light to moderate rains will continue all the way and relaxing by evening period

I WOULD ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WATER LOGGING PROBLEMS AGAIN IN NAGPUR ON TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY

During this time, i.e from Tuesday to Wednesday- VERY Heavy rains are possible to areas within 300km radius of nagpur

briefly Chandrapur,Wardha,Amravati,Yavatmal also

On Wednesday very heavy rains possible at Central Maharashtra

I WILL ALERT FOR FLOODING POTENTIALS IN ALL THESE AREAS AND THEIR NEARBY VILLAGES/TOWN

With this, I am expecting the end of the 2010 SW Monsoon Season in Central India atleast and Northern India since the winds have started changing their course.

They are now taking a west, North-Westerly path and I don't find any new system building up

So I think the rains will be over by Mid September i.e 16th or near.

Tue-Wed heavy rains are most likely to be the LAST TIME IN THIS YEAR

Personal note-

This season , I couldn't send much EMAIL alerts due to very busy schedule but I was constantly updating through social networking sites and my blogs

For more details on FAST WEATHER ALERTS(LOOK BELOW)

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Akshay Deoras,

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