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Sunday, October 31, 2010

Tropical Depression making landfall at Thailand today.Heads towards India

Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The anticipated Tropical Depression is swirling in the South China Sea approximately 270km SE of Songkhla province in Thailand. Expected to have maximum winds of 50km/hr at the center, landfall will happen in next 15-17hrs as the forwards ( NW approach) velocity is 15km/hr barely and having very compact structure.

This depression as per Thai Meteorological Dept. is expected to move through the southern part along Nakhon Si Thammarat, Phatthalung, Songkhla, Satun, Pattani province, Trang, Krabi, Phuket and Phang Nga tonight looks like this area to the south. From Thursday to a wide area with rain. And heavy rain.

This depression will rapidly intensify in the Bay of Bengal given the excellent conditions required. The main concern which always dominates is of the wind shears.

This depression might convert to a Tropical Cyclone but a unsymmetrical warm core and weak banding features might happen ( possibly due to developing wind shears) which might prevent This depression from becoming HUGE

This depression now is expected to make a landfall on 7th Nov as the forward speed is expected to remain very less

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